Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.617088 0.708081 0.807133 0.922870 1.054297 1.198810 1.369667
2025-01-05 0.461450 0.579751 0.719767 0.897322 1.116093 1.376424 1.709312
2025-01-12 0.363600 0.496690 0.666787 0.899201 1.207496 1.601308 2.141314
2025-01-19 0.281342 0.415817 0.600506 0.871009 1.255135 1.778759 2.543962
2025-01-26 0.237280 0.377003 0.581949 0.901675 1.384500 2.082151 3.161214
2025-02-02 0.206048 0.350101 0.574631 0.945811 1.538705 2.441897 3.912324
2025-02-09 0.173825 0.314821 0.547610 0.954059 1.638361 2.733443 4.603098
2025-02-16 0.146560 0.282005 0.518127 0.952122 1.719633 3.005460 5.299610
2025-02-23 0.125166 0.255041 0.493358 0.953015 1.804104 3.291956 6.056984
2025-03-02 0.107288 0.230901 0.469063 0.949874 1.879511 3.570913 6.836321
2025-03-09 0.094687 0.214545 0.456270 0.965525 1.990574 3.925825 7.795695
2025-03-16 0.081833 0.194999 0.433637 0.957652 2.054283 4.199801 8.637549
2025-03-23 0.073121 0.183016 0.425024 0.978191 2.180124 4.613587 9.812462
2025-03-30 0.063116 0.166006 0.402684 0.965861 2.236269 4.897458 10.768197
2025-04-06 0.056258 0.155103 0.392053 0.977659 2.345980 5.305073 12.031382
2025-04-13 0.048222 0.139480 0.367600 0.953417 2.371646 5.538394 12.955783
2025-04-20 0.044660 0.134866 0.368980 0.991130 2.545605 6.116479 14.705199
2025-04-27 0.042085 0.132424 0.375396 1.042384 2.759307 6.810170 16.799152
2025-05-04 0.037985 0.124706 0.366673 1.053400 2.875872 7.294601 18.470521
2025-05-11 0.033930 0.116201 0.354271 1.052565 2.962287 7.718305 20.050147
2025-05-18 0.030479 0.108775 0.343516 1.054399 3.055880 8.170841 21.754371
2025-05-25 0.027300 0.101480 0.331790 1.051500 3.136354 8.600539 23.453751
2025-06-01 0.025081 0.096901 0.327355 1.069113 3.276007 9.198254 25.650914